Oxford Associates



©1998, William N. Goetzmann



Bruce Davis works for Oxford Associates, an investment consulting firm in Boston, Massachusetts. His client is Xerxes pension fund, a three billion dollar defined benefit pension plan for a firm that makes office business machines. Oxford has been hired to evaluate the performance of their equity managers, many of whom have been with Xerxes for most of the 1990's.


Over the past several years, the managers have each contracted with Xerxes to be compensated based upon whether they beat a style benchmark. Fixed fees are paid as a percentage of assets each year and an incentive fees is paid on the return achieved above the benchmark. One manager, Euclid Advisors, has a substantially larger incentive fee, however Euclid has a high water mark provision, which means that they must make up any loss incurred in previous years before they receive incentive payments.


Davis is charged with determining whether the benchmarks used are appropriate ones. In addition he has been asked to develop a quantitative basis for evaluating the manager's performance.


One particularly challenging problem he faces is that some managers are market timers, and Xerxes would like to determine whether they have timing skill.

Data: Returns for all funds and rolling weights for one fund are available in the tables.

Return data spreadsheet (same as Table III below)

Analyzer Folder

Attribution Folder

Rolling Sharpe coefficient weights for Brinson Partners (same as Table II below)

Using the data available in the case, and the Ibbotson Attribution software, answer the following questions.





1. Which managers have positive risk-adjusted returns? Answer this using the Sharpe ratio, the Jensen measure and a multi-factor model of your choice. Do any funds have significantly positive alphas?



2. Do the managers' earn their fees? Can you answer this question with certainty? Assume that the returns you obtain from the attribution software are net of fees.



3. Are the benchmarks appropriate to the managers?



4. Do any of the tactical managers have timing ability?



5. Consider Brinson Partners Global Securities Fund.



Has its performance been due to timing or superior security selection?

Brinson's implicit time-varying portfolio weights, based on 3-year rolling Sharpe coefficients are provided below. Are the EAFE weights correlated to leading or lagging returns to the EAFE index? Why would you care?



6. What is the source of Euclid's performance? Can you figure out what they invest in?



7. Would you keep all the current managers? Would you allocate funds equally across them? Do any of them provide any special diversification benefits.







Table I. Managers, Dates they started, Benchmarks and Fees



Manager Start Date Benchmark Fixed &Incen Fees

Brinson Partners Inc. Global Securiti 3/82 EAFE Index »% +2%

Equinox Capital Mgmt U.S. Equity 3/86 S&P 500 »% +2%

Euclid Advisors Inc. Euclid Advisors 3/90 T-Bills »% +25%

Fidelity Mgmt Trust Co. Select Small Ca 6/89 Small Cal Value »% +2%

First Quadrant Corporation Global TAA 3/89 50%/50% EAFE/TB »% +2%

Harris Investment Mgmt Systematic Equi 3/86 S&P 500 »% +2%

J.P. Morgan Invt Mgmt Tactical Asset 12/85 50%/50% S&P/TB »% +2%

Lord Abbett & Co. Value Equity 3/77 Large-cap Value »% +2%

PanAgora Asset Management Tactical Asset 12/85 50%/50% S&P/TB »% +2%

Renaissance Investment Mgmt Three Way Asset 3/78 50%/50% S&P/TB »% +2%









Table II. Brinson Partners Global Securities

Rolling Estimated Sharpe Coefficients

Estimated using 12 leading quarters of returns



U.S. LT Gvt TR (E) U.S. 30 Day TBill TR (E) Wilshire Large Value TR (E) Wilshire Small Growth TR (E) Wilshire Small Value TR (E) Wilshire Large Growth TR (E) MSCI EAFE TR (E) R Squared (E)
Overall Style 27.23 39.46 0.00 5.72 5.38 12.31 9.90 78.28
Mar 1985 29.64 3.85 0.00 25.72 16.61 0.00 24.18 97.43
Jun 1985 30.47 3.45 0.00 24.44 17.91 0.00 23.73 95.64
Sep 1985 28.46 6.98 0.00 26.21 15.47 0.00 22.87 94.46
Dec 1985 33.19 6.94 0.00 27.61 7.37 0.00 24.89 93.76
Mar 1986 17.17 31.72 0.00 12.38 23.03 0.00 15.70 91.74
Jun 1986 11.32 38.68 0.00 9.64 28.60 0.00 11.76 90.55
Sep 1986 15.30 38.51 0.00 0.00 27.59 7.09 11.51 92.12
Dec 1986 7.81 37.02 0.00 0.00 42.97 0.00 12.20 94.09
Mar 1987 20.44 42.21 0.00 0.00 16.25 10.98 10.13 90.58
Jun 1987 20.82 45.16 0.00 0.00 13.15 9.20 11.69 92.18
Sep 1987 17.89 59.23 0.00 0.00 2.95 15.54 4.39 98.58
Dec 1987 20.83 58.17 0.00 6.19 0.75 8.53 5.54 96.93
Mar 1988 25.34 62.51 0.00 11.47 0.00 0.00 0.68 93.99
Jun 1988 25.32 62.52 0.00 11.53 0.00 0.00 0.63 94.06
Sep 1988 26.66 60.87 0.00 9.64 0.00 1.59 1.24 94.19
Dec 1988 26.85 60.02 0.00 11.59 0.00 0.00 1.54 92.63
Mar 1989 26.70 60.25 0.00 11.57 0.00 0.00 1.49 90.52
Jun 1989 30.50 55.19 0.00 11.34 0.00 0.00 2.97 82.59
Sep 1989 26.19 59.13 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 4.68 80.66
Dec 1989 25.31 58.36 1.57 5.98 0.00 0.00 8.79 80.92
Mar 1990 25.03 59.10 0.00 7.97 0.00 0.00 7.90 79.40
Jun 1990 27.54 54.48 4.33 3.61 0.00 0.00 10.04 82.49
Sep 1990 28.88 53.05 0.00 2.90 6.20 0.00 8.97 84.81
Dec 1990 36.16 43.54 0.00 9.49 1.12 0.00 9.69 89.80
Mar 1991 16.72 46.03 18.56 4.34 0.00 6.29 8.05 99.33
Jun 1991 17.42 47.24 13.93 8.17 0.00 5.02 8.21 99.25
Sep 1991 17.44 47.41 11.91 7.75 0.00 7.14 8.35 99.08
Dec 1991 21.21 46.01 11.01 10.94 0.00 1.52 9.31 99.05
Mar 1992 22.75 45.76 5.01 10.34 1.27 4.79 10.08 98.77
Jun 1992 24.06 45.07 3.96 10.20 0.00 6.56 10.15 98.80
Sep 1992 25.70 31.05 30.57 0.00 0.00 10.47 2.21 98.98
Dec 1992 21.76 35.22 27.78 0.00 0.22 11.52 3.50 97.81
Mar 1993 21.87 36.13 25.73 0.00 0.00 11.36 4.92 97.62
Jun 1993 23.09 36.14 20.74 0.00 2.06 11.87 6.10 97.37
Sep 1993 18.51 39.98 18.72 0.00 0.00 14.34 8.45 97.56
Dec 1993 18.00 34.03 21.17 0.00 3.56 14.44 8.79 94.79
Mar 1994 15.70 37.00 19.91 0.00 2.11 15.30 9.97 94.30
Jun 1994 20.87 33.04 19.75 0.00 3.50 15.12 7.71 94.06
Sep 1994 24.76 33.94 13.50 0.00 6.93 13.77 7.10 94.54
Dec 1994 21.26 37.47 22.85 0.00 0.00 14.16 4.27 93.69
Mar 1995 14.39 33.64 16.32 0.00 13.19 11.06 11.40 86.91
Jun 1995 12.47 30.47 21.58 0.00 9.01 13.63 12.84 87.97
Sep 1995 9.90 0.00 7.00 2.29 8.47 38.29 34.04 98.69
Dec 1995 14.14 0.00 0.23 1.32 12.09 38.57 33.66 98.53
Mar 1996 18.67 0.00 6.04 0.00 2.61 38.73 33.95 96.87
Jun 1996 14.38 0.00 10.02 0.00 0.00 40.48 35.12 96.19
Sep 1996 14.45 0.00 9.88 0.00 0.00 40.53 35.14 96.20
Dec 1996 16.22 2.78 5.80 0.00 11.02 34.01 30.18 93.55
Mar 1997 14.31 13.04 8.30 0.00 21.60 24.02 18.72 93.30
Jun 1997 13.81 15.41 8.73 0.00 21.90 22.78 17.37 91.02
Sep 1997 13.42 33.85 13.30 0.00 25.26 5.27 8.90 90.86


Table III: Returns Of Funds



Brinson Partners Inc. Global Securiti First Quadrant CorporatioGlobal TAA Equinox Capital Mgmt U.S. Equity Lord Abbett & Co. Value Equity PanAgora Asset ManagementTactical Asset J.P. Morgan Invt Mgmt Tactical Asset Euclid Advisors Inc. Euclid Advisors Renaissance Investment MgThree Way Asset Fidelity Mgmt Trust Co. Select Small Ca Harris Investment Mgmt Systematic Equi
%Total Return %Total Return %Total Return %Total Return %Total Return %Total Return %Total Return %Total Return %Total Return %Total Return
Dec 1976 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999
Mar 1977 -999 -999 -999 -5.16 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999
Jun 1977 -999 -999 -999 2.71 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999
Sep 1977 -999 -999 -999 -5.93 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999
Dec 1977 -999 -999 -999 1.12 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999 -999
Mar 1978 -999 -999 -999 -4.55 -999 -999 -999 2.57 -999 -999
Jun 1978 -999 -999 -999 6.96 -999 -999 -999 12.05 -999 -999
Sep 1978 -999 -999 -999 8.02 -999 -999 -999 16.74 -999 -999
Dec 1978 -999 -999 -999 -5.89 -999 -999 -999 -2.59 -999 -999
Mar 1979 -999 -999 -999 8.73 -999 -999 -999 2.46 -999 -999
Jun 1979 -999 -999 -999 3.32 -999 -999 -999 1.36 -999 -999
Sep 1979 -999 -999 -999 9.99 -999 -999 -999 6.59 -999 -999
Dec 1979 -999 -999 -999 2.46 -999 -999 -999 2.59 -999 -999
Mar 1980 -999 -999 -999 -5.26 -999 -999 -999 -1.2 -999 -999
Jun 1980 -999 -999 -999 13.79 -999 -999 -999 8.26 -999 -999
Sep 1980 -999 -999 -999 8.27 -999 -999 -999 20.77 -999 -999
Dec 1980 -999 -999 -999 7.46 -999 -999 -999 4.45 -999 -999
Mar 1981 -999 -999 -999 6.39 -999 -999 -999 7.79 -999 -999
Jun 1981 -999 -999 -999 -1.72 -999 -999 -999 4.28 -999 -999
Sep 1981 -999 -999 -999 -9.73 -999 -999 -999 -4.65 -999 -999
Dec 1981 -999 -999 -999 6.53 -999 -999 -999 8.58 -999 -999
Mar 1982 -4.24 -999 -999 -3.49 -999 -999 -999 -3.59 -999 -999
Jun 1982 -0.67 -999 -999 -0.39 -999 -999 -999 -1.38 -999 -999
Sep 1982 9.81 -999 -999 11.1 -999 -999 -999 10.79 -999 -999
Dec 1982 19.06 -999 -999 22.43 -999 -999 -999 20.93 -999 -999
Mar 1983 6.69 -999 -999 9.52 -999 -999 -999 12.55 -999 -999
Jun 1983 7.32 -999 -999 7.58 -999 -999 -999 9.29 -999 -999
Sep 1983 1.35 -999 -999 2.36 -999 -999 -999 -2.91 -999 -999
Dec 1983 1.86 -999 -999 4.1 -999 -999 -999 -0.85 -999 -999
Mar 1984 -0.28 -999 -999 -4.11 -999 -999 -999 -2.63 -999 -999
Jun 1984 -3.88 -999 -999 -4.07 -999 -999 -999 -3.76 -999 -999
Sep 1984 7.48 -999 -999 10.13 -999 -999 -999 10.47 -999 -999
Dec 1984 4.65 -999 -999 4.26 -999 -999 -999 8.86 -999 -999
Mar 1985 5.22 -999 -999 7.5 -999 -999 -999 0.61 -999 -999
Jun 1985 6.47 -999 -999 7.36 -999 -999 -999 13.18 -999 -999
Sep 1985 3.24 -999 -999 -4.27 -999 -999 -999 -1.72 -999 -999
Dec 1985 9.06 -999 -999 16.03 11.93 13.46 -999 13.32 -999 -999
Mar 1986 10.02 -999 16.67 15.49 9.25 14.91 -999 14.69 -999 18.6
Jun 1986 4.22 -999 9.09 2.61 4.16 7.14 -999 4.15 -999 6.44
Sep 1986 0.44 -999 -3.04 -3.51 -3.41 -4.18 -999 -9.73 -999 -4.9
Dec 1986 3.95 -999 3.09 5.94 4.97 5.89 -999 6.5 -999 4.84
Mar 1987 7.35 -999 21.63 18.42 12.02 8.49 -999 18.94 -999 20.01
Jun 1987 2.57 -999 5.31 5.65 3.3 -2.31 -999 -5.03 -999 0.74
Sep 1987 0.72 -999 7.24 6.39 4.04 -10.38 -999 -5.28 -999 4.64
Dec 1987 2.85 -999 -20.86 -20.77 -10.4 18.16 -999 4.78 -999 -24.02
Mar 1988 5.93 -999 11.19 4.57 6.26 4.43 -999 4.32 -999 10.54
Jun 1988 3.5 -999 5.49 8.46 5.1 2.99 -999 3.06 -999 8.31
Sep 1988 1.82 -999 -0.54 -1.82 0.92 2.79 -999 1.21 -999 0.22
Dec 1988 3.7 -999 2.31 2.6 1.72 1.68 -999 2.94 -999 1.37
Mar 1989 4.11 -1.64 6.86 4.82 2.87 3.03 -999 1.29 -999 8.51
Jun 1989 5.37 -4.13 7.34 6.31 5.59 9.08 -999 2.34 -999 5.45
Sep 1989 5.55 5.69 11.27 9.06 5.84 4.52 -999 2.02 -999 15.16
Dec 1989 2.95 5.38 1.29 3.25 2.8 4.82 -999 -0.32 -999 -2.02
Mar 1990 -1.5 -7.53 -1.54 0.16 -1.43 -2.61 1.5 0.08 -999 -2.72
Jun 1990 4.25 6.59 2.19 3.43 3.72 4.45 5.8 3.93 -999 2.9
Sep 1990 -5.03 1.47 -12.59 -11.94 -6.88 -4.43 15.2 -7.84 -999 -13.47
Dec 1990 7.58 8.62 9.22 8.67 7.48 8.15 10 9.19 -999 7.03
Mar 1991 8.1 10.22 18.96 9.86 10.72 7.4 1.9 16.39 -999 15.57
Jun 1991 0.61 2.22 -0.61 -0.82 -0.06 0.75 1.2 -1.73 -999 -2.05
Sep 1991 6.65 4.4 6.01 5.39 6.23 6.08 4.2 3.99 -999 5.4
Dec 1991 6.22 4.67 5.95 5.02 8.73 7.28 6.4 8.12 -999 8.6
Mar 1992 -1.03 -4.36 2.58 0.97 -1.9 -1.83 3.1 0.12 -999 0.27
Jun 1992 4.06 -1.05 0.37 4.07 2.12 2.58 3.4 -0.16 -999 -1.33
Sep 1992 3.07 2.97 -0.34 2.02 3.69 3.86 0.9 1.95 -999 3.04
Dec 1992 2.76 1.4 6.63 6.66 5.32 3.1 4.2 4.31 -999 7.09
Mar 1993 5.13 5.58 5.06 6.97 4.55 4.6 8.7 4.16 -999 8.66
Jun 1993 2.58 4.31 1.96 1.02 0.59 1.14 4 0.78 -999 4.85
Sep 1993 2.85 4 4.19 5.45 2.72 2.34 5.4 3.68 -999 3.61
Dec 1993 0.9 -0.26 0.36 3.17 2.36 2.22 -5 1.98 -999 0.99
Mar 1994 -2.23 -0.71 -1.85 -3.13 -4 -2.84 2.1 -3.84 -999 -2.35
Jun 1994 0.12 0.7 0.38 1.66 -0.68 0.03 0.1 -1.4 -999 -1.79
Sep 1994 2.34 -0.09 3.51 7.73 2.74 2.8 -3.6 3 -999 5.48
Dec 1994 -0.88 0.56 -1.89 -1.02 0.83 1.42 3.9 -1.4 -999 -2.91
Mar 1995 5.54 -0.2 8.92 9.1 7.35 7.47 1.2 10.38 -999 8.38
Jun 1995 6.56 3.2 10.38 7.59 8.91 8.95 8.7 7.96 -999 10.47
Sep 1995 5.53 8.29 9.29 7.52 6.55 5.42 6.5 6.75 -999 9.79
Dec 1995 5.94 6.09 6.54 5.48 4.88 5.5 -1.25 3.3 1.42 4.23
Mar 1996 2.74 4.2 6.26 5.22 2.42 0.82 1.45 1.48 5.74 7.07
Jun 1996 3.09 3.15 2.62 0.92 2.62 1.84 6.57 2.01 6.17 2.75
Sep 1996 3.57 2.16 3.08 2.07 2.69 2.78 0.59 3.52 2.84 4.02
Dec 1996 5.94 4.29 10.65 8.84 6.91 5.9 4.6 4.66 6.59 10.17
Mar 1997 0.68 2.7 1.32 2.97 1.88 -1.32 1.44 -0.7 -3.79 2.16
Jun 1997 8.55 11.43 15.68 14.57 4.91 5.7 3.05 10.18 17.31 14.9
Sep 1997 4.03 2.9 11.74 6.87 3.75 5.13 7.51 8.41 17.16 16